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Condeixa W vs Valadares Gaia W Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 game between Condeixa W and Valadares Gaia W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Condeixa W
15%
Draws
51%
Valadares Gaia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valadares Gaia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valadares Gaia W come out ahead of Condeixa W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Condeixa W Clean Sheet 19%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Condeixa W Valadares Gaia W
Matches Played 30 51
Wins 7 29
Draws 4 10
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Condeixa W
2:1
Jan 29, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Condeixa W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:1
Nov 7, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Condeixa W vs Valadares Gaia W
2:2
Nov 15, 2020 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Condeixa W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Condeixa W 36 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Condeixa W Valadares Gaia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valadares Gaia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Valadares Gaia W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Condeixa W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Valadares Gaia W let in goals in 57% of their last 51 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valadares Gaia W
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Condeixa W

(Home)
05 Jun
Condeixa W
0 : 2
Racing Power W
28 May
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Condeixa W
22 May
Amora W
5 : 2
Condeixa W
15 May
Condeixa W
2 : 1
Estoril Praia W
08 May
Condeixa W
2 : 2
Varzim W
Page 1 of 6

Valadares Gaia W

(Away)
26 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 0
Rio Ave W
20 Sept
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
12 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
FC Porto W
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 11

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Braga W 7 7 0 0 31:1 21
2 Famalicao W 7 5 1 1 22:3 16
3 Vilaverdense W 7 4 1 2 17:10 13
4 Albergaria/Durit W 7 2 2 3 5:9 8
5 Valadares Gaia W 7 1 4 2 11:13 7
6 Condeixa W 7 1 2 4 7:11 5
7 Varzim W 7 1 1 5 3:23 4
8 Gil Vicente W 7 1 1 5 3:29 4
Promotion - Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 7 6 0 1 32:11 18
2 Sporting W 7 5 2 0 24:2 17
3 Torreense W 7 3 3 1 14:6 12
4 Maritimo W 7 3 2 2 12:6 11
5 Amora W 7 3 2 2 12:16 11
6 Ouriense W 7 1 2 4 7:12 5
7 Estoril Praia W 7 0 2 5 2:19 2
8 Atletico CP W 7 0 1 6 2:33 1
Promotion - Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)