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Condeixa W vs Valadares Gaia W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Condeixa W play Valadares Gaia W in the Liga BPI Women 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Condeixa W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Valadares Gaia W averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Condeixa W won 1, Valadares Gaia W won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 30, 2022 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Condeixa W and 1.61 for Valadares Gaia W. This points to a Valadares Gaia W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Condeixa W
28%
Draws
45%
Valadares Gaia W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Valadares Gaia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Condeixa W picked up more points recently compared to Valadares Gaia W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Condeixa W Clean Sheet 14%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Condeixa W Valadares Gaia W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Condeixa W
2:1
Jan 29, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Condeixa W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:1
Nov 7, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Condeixa W vs Valadares Gaia W
2:2
Nov 15, 2020 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Condeixa W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Condeixa W 27 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Condeixa W Valadares Gaia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Valadares Gaia W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Condeixa W attacking → ← attacking Valadares Gaia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Condeixa W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Valadares Gaia W let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Condeixa W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Valadares Gaia W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 47
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Braga W770031:121
2Famalicao W751122:316
3Vilaverdense W741217:1013
4Albergaria/Durit W72235:98
5Valadares Gaia W714211:137
6Condeixa W71247:115
7Varzim W71153:234
8Gil Vicente W71153:294
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SL Benfica W760132:1118
2Sporting W752024:217
3Torreense W733114:612
4Maritimo W732212:611
5Amora W732212:1611
6Ouriense W71247:125
7Estoril Praia W70252:192
8Atletico CP W70162:331