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Conegliano vs FC Obermais - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Nicoloso L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C game between Conegliano and FC Obermais finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Conegliano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Conegliano
30%
Draws
29%
FC Obermais
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Conegliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Conegliano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Conegliano a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Conegliano Clean Sheet 68%
FC Obermais Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conegliano FC Obermais
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Conegliano vs FC Obermais
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group C
FC Obermais vs Conegliano
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Conegliano vs FC Obermais
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conegliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicoloso L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

FC Obermais Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conegliano 59 / 100
FC Obermais 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conegliano FC Obermais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conegliano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conegliano found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

FC Obermais has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Conegliano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Conegliano VS FC Obermais
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Conegliano

(Home)
04 Oct
Este
2 : 1
Conegliano
27 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 1
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0
FC Obermais
16 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 1
Conegliano
13 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

FC Obermais

(Away)
04 Oct
Triestina
2 : 0
FC Obermais
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2
Mestre
20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0
FC Obermais
16 Sept
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)