Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Confianca PB vs Desportiva Guarabira

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Confianca PB play Desportiva Guarabira in the Paraibano 2 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Confianca PB averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Desportiva Guarabira averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Confianca PB won 2, Desportiva Guarabira won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 17, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.36 for Confianca PB and 1.34 for Desportiva Guarabira. This points to a Confianca PB double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Confianca PB
27%
Draws
34%
Desportiva Guarabira
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Confianca PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Confianca PB picked up more points recently compared to Desportiva Guarabira.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.36 vs 1.34 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Confianca PB Clean Sheet 18%
Desportiva Guarabira Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Confianca PB Desportiva Guarabira
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Paraibano 2
Desportiva Guarabira vs Confianca PB
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 Paraibano 2
Confianca PB vs Desportiva Guarabira
5:0
Sep 10, 2023 Paraibano 2
Confianca PB vs Desportiva Guarabira
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Confianca PB 39 / 100
Desportiva Guarabira 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Confianca PB Desportiva Guarabira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Confianca PB or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Confianca PB attacking → ← attacking Desportiva Guarabira

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Confianca PB scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Desportiva Guarabira let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Confianca PB went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Desportiva Guarabira lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 43
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.80
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.60

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1EC de Patos981020:125
2Auto Esporte972020:323
3Spartax951315:916
4Queimadense941419:1313
5Cruzeiro-PB941413:1013
6Picuiense941411:1513
7Desportiva Guarabira93248:1911
8Confianca PB931512:1310
9Sport PB92076:146
10Internacional PB90090:270