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Confianca vs Barra SE Prediction & H2H Stats

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Sergipano 2025 Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao), Aracaju
Confianca Logo

Confianca

8 - 1
FT
Barra SE Logo

Barra SE

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Caio Miranda
25' Event
Adryan
42' Event
Rodriguinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2025 game between Confianca and Barra SE finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Confianca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Confianca
20%
Draws
60%
Barra SE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barra SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Barra SE haven't matched Confianca's recent run of results.
  • Confianca are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Confianca Clean Sheet 68%
Barra SE Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Confianca Barra SE
Matches Played 50 26
Wins 19 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.98 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Sergipano
Confianca vs Barra SE
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Confianca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronald Camarao
2 Goals
Assists Leader Santos Oliveira L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Barra SE Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Miranda
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Confianca 77 / 100
Barra SE 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Confianca Barra SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Confianca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Confianca's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 50 recent games.

Barra SE let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Barra SE's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Confianca VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Confianca

(Home)
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 10

Barra SE

(Away)
01 Mar
Itabaiana
4 : 2
Barra SE
22 Feb
Barra SE
0 : 2
Dorense
15 Feb
Confianca
8 : 1
Barra SE
09 Feb
Barra SE
1 : 0
America de Propria
03 Feb
Barra SE
3 : 2
Carmopolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Confianca 9 6 2 1 26:8 20
2 Itabaiana 9 5 4 0 18:7 19
3 Lagarto 9 5 2 2 20:8 17
4 America de Propria 9 4 3 2 10:6 15
5 Guarany SE 9 4 1 4 9:19 13
6 Falcon 9 4 0 5 11:15 12
7 Sergipe 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
8 Dorense 9 2 2 5 7:12 8
9 Barra SE 9 2 1 6 8:27 7
10 Carmopolis 9 0 3 6 10:16 3
Promotion - Sergipano 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sergipano 2025 (Play Offs)