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Stadium Background

Confianca vs Fluminense-PI

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao), Aracaju
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Carrijo In: Adson
Out: Carrijo
46'
Sub
Leo Carvalho In: Junior Timbo
Out: Leo Carvalho
52' Event
Fabricio Oya

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Confianca
30%
Draws
47%
Fluminense-PI
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fluminense-PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Confianca haven't matched Fluminense-PI's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Confianca's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Fluminense-PI arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Confianca, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Confianca Clean Sheet 68%
Fluminense-PI Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Confianca Fluminense-PI
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.73 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Confianca vs Fluminense-PI
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Confianca Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabricio Oya
1 Goals
Assists Leader Breiner C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fluminense-PI Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Confianca 46 / 100
Fluminense-PI 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Confianca Fluminense-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-PI has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Fluminense-PI registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Confianca found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Confianca VS Fluminense-PI
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.17
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 17%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Confianca

(Home)
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
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Fluminense-PI

(Away)
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
20 Jun
Fluminense-PI
0 : 3
America RN
13 Jun
Ferroviario
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
31 May
Fluminense-PI
1 : 1
AE Altos
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
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