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Stadium Background

Confianca vs Maranhao

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao), Aracaju
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Vagalume
38'
Iago Silva
39' Event
Joao Pedro

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Confianca and Maranhao finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Confianca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Confianca
30%
Draws
34%
Maranhao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Confianca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Maranhao have managed 0.5 goals a game lately — Confianca are scoring more at 0.63.
  • Win probability leans Confianca's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Confianca Clean Sheet 20%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Confianca Maranhao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Serie C
Confianca vs Maranhao
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Confianca Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Icaro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Maranhao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Confianca 36 / 100
Maranhao 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Confianca Maranhao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Confianca scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Maranhao let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Confianca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Confianca VS Maranhao
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Confianca

(Home)
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
12 Jul
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Confianca
04 Jul
Confianca
1 : 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
28 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1
Confianca
22 Jun
Confianca
2 : 0
Guarani
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Maranhao

(Away)
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
04 Jul
Maranhao
0 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Maranhao
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1583421:1527
2Guarani1575328:1526
3Botafogo PB1581621:1625
4Internacional de Limeira1574418:1725
5Santa Cruz1573515:1124
6Paysandu PA1572623:2123
7Maringa FC1565428:2523
8Ferroviaria1565415:1223
9Ypiranga FC1563618:1921
10SER Caxias do Sul1556414:1221
11Floresta EC1556416:1521
12Amazonas1562715:2020
13Figueirense1555513:1820
14Ituano1554616:1719
15Volta Redonda1553711:1918
16Maranhao1546511:1418
17Itabaiana1545613:1817
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1536617:1715
19Anapolis1533913:1912
20Confianca153399:1512
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)