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Cong An Ha Noi vs Ho Chi Minh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

Super Cup Hang Day Stadium, Hanoi
Cong An Ha Noi Logo

Cong An Ha Noi

5 - 0
FT
Ho Chi Minh Logo

Ho Chi Minh

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Alan Grafite
11'
Williams L.
27' Event
Alan Grafite
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. This leg finished 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Cong An Ha Noi
15%
Draws
21%
Ho Chi Minh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cong An Ha Noi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Cong An Ha Noi have won more games recently than Ho Chi Minh.
  • Model gives Cong An Ha Noi a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Cong An Ha Noi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cong An Ha Noi, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cong An Ha Noi Clean Sheet 20%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cong An Ha Noi Ho Chi Minh
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Super Cup
Cong An Ha Noi vs Ho Chi Minh
5:0
Apr 19, 2026 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Cong An Ha Noi
0:3
Oct 27, 2025 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Ho Chi Minh
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Ho Chi Minh
0:0
Nov 16, 2024 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Cong An Ha Noi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cong An Ha Noi Compare

Top Goalscorer Alan Grafite
2 Goals
Assists Leader Perea B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ho Chi Minh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cong An Ha Noi 85 / 100
Ho Chi Minh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cong An Ha Noi Ho Chi Minh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cong An Ha Noi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cong An Ha Noi scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Ho Chi Minh let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Cong An Ha Noi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cong An Ha Noi VS Ho Chi Minh
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cong An Ha Noi

(Home)
08 Oct
Lion City Sailors
0 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
20 Sept
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0 : 3
Cong An Ha Noi
15 Sept
Gamba Osaka
4 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
10 Sept
Viettel
0 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
05 Sept
Cong An Ha Noi
2 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Page 1 of 6

Ho Chi Minh

(Away)
07 Oct
Ratchaburi
1 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Cong An Ha Noi 5
Ho Chi Minh 0