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Cong An Ha Noi vs PVF-CAND

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Hang Day Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cong An Ha Noi play PVF-CAND in the V.League 1. Cong An Ha Noi are favorites here. Recently, Cong An Ha Noi averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. PVF-CAND averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Cong An Ha Noi won 3, PVF-CAND won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Cong An Ha Noi and 1.00 for PVF-CAND. This points to a Cong An Ha Noi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Cong An Ha Noi
25%
Draws
15%
PVF-CAND
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Cong An Ha Noi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Cong An Ha Noi picked up more points recently compared to PVF-CAND.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Cong An Ha Noi Clean Sheet 23%
PVF-CAND Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cong An Ha Noi PVF-CAND
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 V.League 1
PVF-CAND vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:1
Oct 31, 2025 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs PVF-CAND
2:0
Oct 24, 2022 V.League 2
Cong An Ha Noi vs PVF-CAND
2:1
Jun 26, 2022 V.League 2
PVF-CAND vs Cong An Ha Noi
2:2
May 1, 2021 V.League 2
PVF-CAND vs Cong An Ha Noi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cong An Ha Noi Compare

Top Goalscorer Tran Dinh Tien
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

PVF-CAND Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cong An Ha Noi 59 / 100
PVF-CAND 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cong An Ha Noi PVF-CAND

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cong An Ha Noi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cong An Ha Noi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cong An Ha Noi attacking → ← attacking PVF-CAND

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cong An Ha Noi scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

PVF-CAND let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Cong An Ha Noi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

PVF-CAND lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 30
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324