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Cong An Ha Noi vs Thanh Hoa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Hang Day Stadium, Hanoi
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
12:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cong An Ha Noi host Thanh Hoa in the V.League 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Cong An Ha Noi have averaged 2.23 scored and 1.09 conceded recently, against Thanh Hoa's 1 scored and 1.55 conceded. Past meetings favor Cong An Ha Noi slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.06 - 0.56) back Cong An Ha Noi to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Cong An Ha Noi
15%
Draws
17%
Thanh Hoa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cong An Ha Noi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cong An Ha Noi lately — more wins on the board than Thanh Hoa.
  • Model gives Cong An Ha Noi a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cong An Ha Noi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cong An Ha Noi Clean Sheet 20%
Thanh Hoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cong An Ha Noi Thanh Hoa
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 25 6
Draws 3 9
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Thanh Hoa
2:0
Feb 24, 2026 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:3
Jun 15, 2025 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:4
Sep 20, 2024 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Thanh Hoa
0:1
Mar 31, 2024 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Cong An Ha Noi
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cong An Ha Noi 85 / 100
Thanh Hoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cong An Ha Noi Thanh Hoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cong An Ha Noi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cong An Ha Noi's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Thanh Hoa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Cong An Ha Noi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cong An Ha Noi VS Thanh Hoa
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cong An Ha Noi

(Home)
08 Oct
Lion City Sailors
0 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
20 Sept
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0 : 3
Cong An Ha Noi
15 Sept
Gamba Osaka
4 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
10 Sept
Viettel
0 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
05 Sept
Cong An Ha Noi
2 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
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Thanh Hoa

(Away)
19 Sept
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Binh Duong
11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1
Thanh Hoa
06 Sept
Thanh Hoa
3 : 2
Da Nang
07 Jun
Da Nang
4 : 0
Thanh Hoa
31 May
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Song Lam Nghe An 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Da Nang 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
6 Nam Dinh 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
7 Ho Chi Minh 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Thanh Hoa 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
9 Bac Ninh 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Hai Phong 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
11 Viettel 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
12 Hanoi FC 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
13 Gia Lai 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
14 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 2027/2028 (Main)