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Stadium Background

Cong An Ha Noi vs Thanh Hoa

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Hang Day Stadium, Hanoi
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Doan Ngoc Ha
38'
Le Pham Thanh Long
56'
Sub
Tran Dinh Trong In: China
Out: Tran Dinh Trong

AI Match Summary

Cong An Ha Noi in this V.League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cong An Ha Noi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Cong An Ha Noi
15%
Draws
17%
Thanh Hoa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cong An Ha Noi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Thanh Hoa haven't matched Cong An Ha Noi's recent run of results.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Cong An Ha Noi taking it.
  • Regular V.League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cong An Ha Noi have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cong An Ha Noi Clean Sheet 68%
Thanh Hoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cong An Ha Noi Thanh Hoa
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 24 6
Draws 4 10
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.19 1
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Thanh Hoa
2:0
Feb 24, 2026 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:3
Jun 15, 2025 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:4
Sep 20, 2024 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Thanh Hoa
0:1
Mar 31, 2024 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Cong An Ha Noi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cong An Ha Noi Compare

Top Goalscorer China
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Thanh Hoa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cong An Ha Noi 95 / 100
Thanh Hoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cong An Ha Noi Thanh Hoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cong An Ha Noi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cong An Ha Noi scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

Thanh Hoa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cong An Ha Noi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cong An Ha Noi VS Thanh Hoa
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cong An Ha Noi

(Home)
20 Sept
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0 : 3
Cong An Ha Noi
15 Sept
Gamba Osaka
4 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
10 Sept
Viettel
0 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
05 Sept
Cong An Ha Noi
2 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
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Thanh Hoa

(Away)
19 Sept
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Binh Duong
11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1
Thanh Hoa
06 Sept
Thanh Hoa
3 : 2
Da Nang
07 Jun
Da Nang
4 : 0
Thanh Hoa
31 May
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)