Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Congo U23 vs Burundi U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Congo U23 in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Congo U23
30%
Draws
54%
Burundi U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burundi U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Congo U23 have won more games recently than Burundi U23.
  • Model gives Burundi U23 a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Congo U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Congo U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Congo U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Burundi U23 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Congo U23 Burundi U23
Matches Played 16 6
Wins 4 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 1.06 1
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Congo U23 vs Burundi U23
2:1
Mar 20, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Burundi U23 vs Congo U23
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Congo U23 20 / 100
Burundi U23 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Congo U23 Burundi U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burundi U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Congo U23 scored in 69% of their last 16 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Burundi U23 let in goals in 50% of their last 6 matches.

Congo U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Congo U23 VS Burundi U23
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.67
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo U23

(Home)
30 Jun
Congo U23
0 : 1
Morocco U23
27 Jun
Congo U23
1 : 3
Guinea U23
25 Jun
Ghana U23
3 : 2
Congo U23
27 Mar
Congo U23
0 : 0
South Africa U23
23 Mar
South Africa U23
1 : 1
Congo U23
Page 1 of 4

Burundi U23

(Away)
30 Jul
Tanzania U23
1 : 0
Burundi U23
27 Jul
Burundi U23
1 : 0
Kenya U23
23 Jul
Ethiopia U23
1 : 1
Burundi U23
20 Jul
Burundi U23
3 : 0
Eritrea U23
26 Mar
Congo U23
2 : 1
Burundi U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola U23 1
South Africa U23 6
Mozambique U23 0
Zimbabwe U23 2
Malawi U23 0
Zambia U23 2
Burundi U23 1
Congo U23 2
Ghana U23 4
Gabon U23 0
Equatorial Guinea U23 1
Algeria U23 3
Cameroon U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
South Sudan U23 0
Tunisia U23 1
Niger U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 8
Guinea U23 2
Senegal U23 1
Sudan U23 2
Kenya U23 0
Libya U23 2
Nigeria U23 4
D.R. Congo U23 0
Morocco U23 6
Ethiopia U23 1
Mali U23 5
Final
South Africa U23 5
Zimbabwe U23 0
Zambia U23 5
Congo U23 4
Ghana U23 2
Algeria U23 1
Cameroon U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 2
Guinea U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 5
Morocco U23 1
Mali U23 2