Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Congo U23 vs Tunisia U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Congo U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Congo U23
30%
Draws
54%
Tunisia U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tunisia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Congo U23 haven't matched Tunisia U23's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tunisia U23's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Tunisia U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Congo U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Congo U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Tunisia U23 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Congo U23 Tunisia U23
Matches Played 16 23
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.06 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.12 1.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Tunisia U23 vs Congo U23
2:1
Oct 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Congo U23 vs Tunisia U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Congo U23 19 / 100
Tunisia U23 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Congo U23 Tunisia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tunisia U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Congo U23 scored in 69% of their last 16 outings.

Tunisia U23 has conceded goals in 65% of their last 23 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Congo U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Congo U23 VS Tunisia U23
0.86 Goals Scored 1.75
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.38
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo U23

(Home)
30 Jun
Congo U23
0 : 1
Morocco U23
27 Jun
Congo U23
1 : 3
Guinea U23
25 Jun
Ghana U23
3 : 2
Congo U23
27 Mar
Congo U23
0 : 0
South Africa U23
23 Mar
South Africa U23
1 : 1
Congo U23
Page 1 of 4

Tunisia U23

(Away)
13 Jun
Portugal U20
2 : 0
Tunisia U23
10 Jun
Colombia U19
0 : 0
Tunisia U23
07 Jun
China U20
0 : 3
Tunisia U23
05 Jun
Saudi Arabia U21
3 : 1
Tunisia U23
31 May
D.R. Congo U20
0 : 3
Tunisia U23
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1