Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Congo vs Sudan

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship Amaan Stadium, Zanzibar City
Congo Logo

Congo

1 - 1
FT
Sudan Logo

Sudan

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Musa H.
45'
Andzouono E.
60'
Sub
Nkaya W. In: Mavoungou G.
Out: Nkaya W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this African Nations Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Congo
20%
Draws
48%
Sudan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sudan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sudan lately — more wins on the board than Congo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Congo Clean Sheet 68%
Sudan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Congo Sudan
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 3 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.61 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2025 African Nations Championship
Congo vs Sudan
1:1
Nov 19, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Sudan vs Congo
0:1
Sep 10, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Congo vs Sudan
2:0
Sep 4, 2011 Africa Cup of Nations
Congo vs Sudan
0:1
Sep 4, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations
Sudan vs Congo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Congo Compare

Top Goalscorer Landou E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Sudan Compare

Top Goalscorer Musa H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Congo 41 / 100
Sudan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Congo Sudan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Congo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudan has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Sudan registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Congo scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Congo VS Sudan
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo

(Home)
14 Oct
Morocco
1 : 0
Congo
08 Oct
Niger
3 : 1
Congo
05 Sept
Congo
1 : 1
Tanzania
19 Aug
Nigeria
2 : 0
Congo
12 Aug
Senegal
1 : 1
Congo
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Sudan

(Away)
03 Jan
Senegal
3 : 1
Sudan
31 Dec
Sudan
0 : 2
Burkina Faso
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Sudan
24 Dec
Algeria
3 : 0
Sudan
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Morocco 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 D.R. Congo 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
4 Angola 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Zambia 4 0 0 4 2:8 0
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Madagascar 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Mauritania 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
4 Burkina Faso 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Central Africa 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
2 Algeria 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
3 South Africa 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
4 Guinea 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Niger 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudan 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
2 Senegal 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Congo 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)