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Conil vs Ayamonte

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024
Conil Logo

Conil

0 - 0
FT
Ayamonte Logo

Ayamonte

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 game between Conil and Ayamonte finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Conil
20%
Draws
38%
Ayamonte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Conil come out ahead of Ayamonte on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Conil Clean Sheet 22%
Ayamonte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conil Ayamonte
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 22 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.55 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Ayamonte
0:0
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Conil
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Conil
2:0
Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Ayamonte
1:0
May 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Conil
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conil 37 / 100
Ayamonte 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conil Ayamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayamonte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conil's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Ayamonte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Conil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Conil VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Conil

(Home)
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Pozoblanco
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
Page 1 of 8

Ayamonte

(Away)
12 May
Ayamonte
3 : 0
AD Cartaya
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Ayamonte
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
27 Apr
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Ayamonte
21 Apr
Ayamonte
2 : 1
Cordoba B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez CD 34 19 10 5 53:21 67
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 19 9 6 39:21 66
3 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 18 10 6 50:23 64
4 Pozoblanco 34 18 8 8 49:36 62
5 AD Ceuta B 34 15 11 8 47:27 56
6 Puente Genil 34 13 15 6 52:45 54
7 Inter Sevilla 34 14 7 13 38:40 49
8 CD Utrera 34 13 7 14 50:48 46
9 AD Cartaya 34 12 9 13 35:34 45
10 La Palma CF 34 11 8 15 49:52 41
11 Bollullos 34 8 14 12 31:44 38
12 Conil 34 9 10 15 29:40 37
13 Cordoba B 34 8 13 13 37:43 37
14 Atletico Espeleno 34 10 7 17 41:53 37
15 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 42:54 36
16 Sevilla C 34 8 11 15 28:35 35
17 Ayamonte 34 7 11 16 32:47 32
18 Cabecense 34 7 7 20 25:64 28
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)