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Conil vs Dos Hermanas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Romero A.
45' Event
Guerrero L.
70' Event
Romero S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Conil and Dos Hermanas finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dos Hermanas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Conil
15%
Draws
37%
Dos Hermanas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Conil come out ahead of Dos Hermanas on wins alone.
  • Dos Hermanas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Conil here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Conil Clean Sheet 22%
Dos Hermanas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conil Dos Hermanas
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.23 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.41 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Copa Federacion
Conil vs Dos Hermanas
1:0
Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Dos Hermanas
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Dos Hermanas vs Conil
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conil Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Dos Hermanas Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerrero L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conil 10 / 100
Dos Hermanas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conil Dos Hermanas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dos Hermanas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Conil scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Dos Hermanas let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Conil remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Conil VS Dos Hermanas
0.43 Goals Scored 1.63
0.57 Goals Conceded 2.38
29% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Conil

(Home)
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Pozoblanco
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
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Dos Hermanas

(Away)
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
13 Sept
Cadiz B
0 : 0
Dos Hermanas
09 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
0 : 9
Dos Hermanas
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0
CD Utrera
08 Aug
Dos Hermanas
0 : 1
Linares
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)