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Conilon vs Castelo FC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2014 game between Conilon and Castelo FC finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Conilon
6%
Draws
90%
Castelo FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Castelo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castelo FC come out ahead of Conilon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Castelo FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Conilon Clean Sheet 20%
Castelo FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conilon Castelo FC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2014 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Conilon
3:0
Mar 7, 2014 Capixaba
Conilon vs Castelo FC
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conilon 10 / 100
Castelo FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conilon Castelo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Conilon scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Castelo FC let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Away concern: Castelo FC has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castelo FC
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Conilon

(Home)
10 May
Conilon
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
04 May
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Conilon
30 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Vitoria ES
26 Apr
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Conilon
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
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Castelo FC

(Away)
18 Nov
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Castelo FC
13 Nov
Castelo FC
0 : 1
Vilavelhense
26 Oct
Capixaba SC
3 : 2
Castelo FC
18 Oct
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Oct
GEL
1 : 7
Castelo FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SAO Mateus1686226:1130
2Linhares Futebol Clube1693428:1730
3Estrela do Norte1685322:1329
4Castelo FC1676328:2027
5Vitoria ES1664626:2322
6Real Noroeste1656520:1921
7Desportiva Ferroviaria1663721:2221
8Colatina SE1634916:3313
9Conilon16111410:394
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2014 (Play Offs)