Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012

Linhares Futebol Clube

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Conilon play Linhares Futebol Clube in the Campeonato Capixaba 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Conilon averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Linhares Futebol Clube averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Conilon won 1, Linhares Futebol Clube won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2014 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.10 for Conilon and 0.86 for Linhares Futebol Clube. This points to a Linhares Futebol Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Conilon

15%

Draws

48%

Linhares Futebol Clube

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Linhares Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Conilon picked up more points recently compared to Linhares Futebol Clube.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.10 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Conilon Clean Sheet 25%

Linhares Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Conilon	Linhares Futebol Clube
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	8	10
Draws	4	5
Losses	18	17
Goals Scored	1.17	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.73	1.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2014 Capixaba

Linhares Futebol Clube vs Conilon

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Feb 21, 2014 Capixaba

Conilon vs Linhares Futebol Clube

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

2:4

Mar 16, 2013 Capixaba

Linhares Futebol Clube vs Conilon

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Jan 25, 2013 Capixaba

Conilon vs Linhares Futebol Clube

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Mar 28, 2012 Capixaba

Linhares Futebol Clube vs Conilon

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conilon 38 / 100

Linhares Futebol Clube 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Conilon Linhares Futebol Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Linhares Futebol Clube or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Conilon attacking → ← attacking Linhares Futebol Clube

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conilon scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Linhares Futebol Clube let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Conilon went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Linhares Futebol Clube lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 35

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rio Branco ES	18	10	3	5	36:23	33
2	Aracruz	18	9	6	3	28:20	33
3	Vitoria ES	18	9	4	5	23:15	31
4	Conilon	18	8	6	4	40:23	30
5	Linhares Futebol Clube	18	9	3	6	27:19	30
6	SAO Mateus	18	8	2	8	17:23	26
7	Real Noroeste	18	6	4	8	21:23	22
8	Galatas	18	5	3	10	15:26	18
9	Colatina SE	18	3	8	7	21:27	17
10	Serra	18	3	1	14	20:49	10