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Connahs Q. vs Airbus UK Broughton FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Essity Stadium, Flint
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Murray I.
31'
Watson R.
46'
Sub
Watson R. In: Flynn S.
Out: Watson R.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Connahs Q. and Airbus UK Broughton FC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Connahs Q..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Connahs Q.
15%
Draws
32%
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Connahs Q.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Airbus UK Broughton FC come out ahead of Connahs Q. on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Connahs Q. taking it.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Connahs Q. have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 16%
Airbus UK Broughton FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Connahs Q. Airbus UK Broughton FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 22
Draws 8 0
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.76 2.69
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
3:0
Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Connahs Q.
0:0
Feb 4, 2023 FAW Welsh Cup
Connahs Q. vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
5:0
Dec 2, 2022 Cymru Premier
Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Connahs Q.
1:2
Aug 19, 2022 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Connahs Q. Compare

Top Goalscorer Flynn S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hodkin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Airbus UK Broughton FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Connahs Q. 57 / 100
Airbus UK Broughton FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Connahs Q. Airbus UK Broughton FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Connahs Q. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Connahs Q. scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Connahs Q. has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Airbus UK Broughton FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Connahs Q. VS Airbus UK Broughton FC
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Connahs Q.

(Home)
09 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 2
Connahs Q.
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

Airbus UK Broughton FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Llandudno FC
1 : 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC
03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0
Trefelin
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1
Flint Town
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)