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Connahs Q. vs Barry Town Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Essity Stadium, Flint
Connahs Q. Logo

Connahs Q.

1 - 1
FT
Barry Town Logo

Barry Town

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Cuddihy O.
21' Event
Owen I.
58'
Bratley C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Connahs Q. and Barry Town finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Connahs Q.
20%
Draws
23%
Barry Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Connahs Q.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Barry Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Connahs Q. are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 68%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Connahs Q. Barry Town
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 19
Draws 8 2
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.81
Goals Conceded 1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Connahs Q.
1:4
Mar 29, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Barry Town
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Connahs Q.
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Barry Town
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Connahs Q.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Connahs Q. Compare

Top Goalscorer Woodcock M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Barry Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Connahs Q. 95 / 100
Barry Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Connahs Q. Barry Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Connahs Q. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Connahs Q. scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Barry Town let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Connahs Q. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Connahs Q. VS Barry Town
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Connahs Q.

(Home)
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1
Haverfordwest
Page 1 of 6

Barry Town

(Away)
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1
Llandudno FC
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0
Barry Town
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 32 26 2 4 81:25 80
2 Connahs Q. 32 16 10 6 61:38 58
3 Barry Town 32 12 10 10 43:33 46
4 Caernarfon 32 12 9 11 56:47 45
5 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 45
6 Penybont 32 11 8 13 39:49 41
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)