Sport Picks
Connahs Q. vs Penybont
Wales
Cymru Premier Essity Stadium, Flint 
AI Match Summary
Connahs Q. host Penybont in the Cymru Premier. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Penybont have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Connahs Q. have conceded 1 and scored 1.76. Past meetings favor Connahs Q. slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.19, favoring Connahs Q.. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Connahs Q. have won more games recently than Penybont.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Connahs Q. | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Connahs Q. scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Penybont's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Connahs Q. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Connahs Q.
(Home)Penybont
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Penybont | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 33:11 | 22 |
| 4 | Connahs Q. | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | 22 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Llandudno FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:20 | 15 |
| 10 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 14 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 13 | Trefelin | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4:24 | 3 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:28 | 3 |
| 15 | Flint Town | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8:24 | 2 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11:35 | 1 |
