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Connecticut Rush vs Black Rock

USA USA

USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Connecticut Rush and Black Rock finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Black Rock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Connecticut Rush
35%
Draws
41%
Black Rock
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Black Rock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Black Rock carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Black Rock's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Connecticut Rush Clean Sheet 14%
Black Rock Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Connecticut Rush Black Rock
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 2 10
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.36 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 USL League Two
Connecticut Rush vs Black Rock
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Connecticut Rush 19 / 100
Black Rock 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Connecticut Rush Black Rock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Black Rock Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Connecticut Rush scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Black Rock has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Connecticut Rush remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Connecticut Rush VS Black Rock
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Connecticut Rush

(Home)
07 Jul
Vermont Green
6 : 2
Connecticut Rush
01 Jul
Connecticut Rush
0 : 2
AC Connecticut
27 Jun
Boston City
1 : 1
Connecticut Rush
24 Jun
Connecticut Rush
1 : 2
NEFC
20 Jun
Albany Rush
1 : 2
Connecticut Rush
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Black Rock

(Away)
11 Jul
Black Rock
1 : 1
Boston City
08 Jul
Black Rock
0 : 0
Boston Bolts
06 Jul
Black Rock
3 : 3
Seacoast United Phantoms
03 Jul
Western Pioneers
1 : 1
Black Rock
28 Jun
Seacoast United Phantoms
1 : 3
Black Rock
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