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Conquense vs Atletico Paso

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Conquense host Atletico Paso in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Conquense have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Atletico Paso's 1.28 scored and 0.66 conceded. Head-to-head, Conquense have won 1 to Atletico Paso's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2025, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.75) point toward Conquense. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Conquense
30%
Draws
23%
Atletico Paso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Conquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Conquense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Conquense taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Conquense Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conquense Atletico Paso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 13
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.48 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Atletico Paso vs Conquense
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Atletico Paso
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conquense 67 / 100
Atletico Paso 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conquense Atletico Paso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conquense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Conquense scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Conquense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Atletico Paso conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Conquense VS Atletico Paso
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Conquense

(Home)
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2
Conquense
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3
Conquense
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
06 Sept
Conquense
2 : 2
Getafe B
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Atletico Paso

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Real Madrid C
27 Sept
Albacete B
2 : 2
Atletico Paso
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
2 Numancia 5 3 2 0 5:0 11
3 San Sebastian Reyes 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
4 Conquense 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
5 Valladolid Promesas 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
6 Salamanca CF UDS 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
7 CF Talavera 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Navalcarnero 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 RSD Alcala 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
11 Real Avila 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
12 Atletico Paso 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
13 Albacete B 5 1 2 2 7:15 5
14 Guadalajara 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
15 Atletico Tordesillas 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
16 Puertollano C.F. 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
17 Getafe B 5 0 3 2 3:5 3
18 Real Madrid C 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)