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Conquense vs Colonia Moscardo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Taranilla V.
62' Event
Sanchez A.
86' Event
Gonzalez E.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Conquense and Colonia Moscardo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Conquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Conquense
30%
Draws
27%
Colonia Moscardo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Conquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Conquense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Conquense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Conquense have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Conquense Clean Sheet 68%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conquense Colonia Moscardo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.93 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Colonia Moscardo
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs Conquense
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Colonia Moscardo
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs Conquense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Taranilla V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Colonia Moscardo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conquense 68 / 100
Colonia Moscardo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conquense Colonia Moscardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conquense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Conquense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Conquense's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Colonia Moscardo has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Conquense VS Colonia Moscardo
1 Goals Scored 1.29
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.86
38% Over 1.5 57%
13% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Conquense

(Home)
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3
Conquense
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
06 Sept
Conquense
2 : 2
Getafe B
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
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Colonia Moscardo

(Away)
27 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
2 : 2
Colonia Moscardo
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0
Colonia Moscardo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 34 20 10 4 52:23 70
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 21 7 6 51:27 70
3 Conquense 34 16 12 6 42:30 60
4 Getafe B 34 16 9 9 55:35 57
5 CD Coria 34 16 9 9 50:38 57
6 RSD Alcala 34 14 9 11 42:39 51
7 Tenerife B 34 15 5 14 57:53 50
8 Orihuela 34 12 10 12 45:43 46
9 CF Intercity 34 11 10 13 42:45 43
10 Navalcarnero 34 11 10 13 40:42 43
11 Las Palmas B 34 11 9 14 42:45 42
12 Ilicitano 34 10 11 13 51:56 41
13 Real Madrid C 34 11 7 16 42:45 40
14 Quintanar del Rey 34 11 6 17 36:43 39
15 CF Fuenlabrada 34 9 10 15 35:44 37
16 Colonia Moscardo 34 9 7 18 37:57 34
17 Socuellamos 34 7 10 17 34:55 31
18 Rayo Vallecano B 34 9 3 22 30:63 30
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)