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Conquense vs Rayo Vallecano B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Gonzalez Godinez J. C.
81'
de las Sias M.
81'
de las Sias M.

AI Match Summary

Conquense in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Conquense
20%
Draws
30%
Rayo Vallecano B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Conquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Conquense have won more games recently than Rayo Vallecano B.
  • Conquense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Conquense Clean Sheet 68%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conquense Rayo Vallecano B
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 12 3
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.16 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Rayo Vallecano B
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Vallecano B vs Conquense
0:0
Apr 12, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Rayo Vallecano B vs Conquense
2:1
Nov 23, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Conquense vs Rayo Vallecano B
3:5
Feb 4, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Vallecano B vs Conquense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rayo Vallecano B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Godinez J. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conquense 95 / 100
Rayo Vallecano B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conquense Rayo Vallecano B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conquense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Vallecano B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Conquense found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: Conquense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Conquense VS Rayo Vallecano B
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Conquense

(Home)
01 Aug
Conquense
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
31 May
Conquense
0 : 2
UD Ourense
24 May
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Conquense
17 May
Conquense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
09 May
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Conquense
Page 1 of 7

Rayo Vallecano B

(Away)
14 Aug
Getafe B
4 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
26 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
0 : 2
Socuellamos
19 Apr
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
12 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 1
CF Intercity
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 34 20 10 4 52:23 70
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 21 7 6 51:27 70
3 Conquense 34 16 12 6 42:30 60
4 Getafe B 34 16 9 9 55:35 57
5 CD Coria 34 16 9 9 50:38 57
6 RSD Alcala 34 14 9 11 42:39 51
7 Tenerife B 34 15 5 14 57:53 50
8 Orihuela 34 12 10 12 45:43 46
9 CF Intercity 34 11 10 13 42:45 43
10 Navalcarnero 34 11 10 13 40:42 43
11 Las Palmas B 34 11 9 14 42:45 42
12 Ilicitano 34 10 11 13 51:56 41
13 Real Madrid C 34 11 7 16 42:45 40
14 Quintanar del Rey 34 11 6 17 36:43 39
15 CF Fuenlabrada 34 9 10 15 35:44 37
16 Colonia Moscardo 34 9 7 18 37:57 34
17 Socuellamos 34 7 10 17 34:55 31
18 Rayo Vallecano B 34 9 3 22 30:63 30
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)