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Conquense vs Xerez CD

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio La Fuensanta, Cuenca
Sun, May 17, 2026
0 - 0
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Conquense
35%
Draws
24%
Xerez CD
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Conquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Conquense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Conquense a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Conquense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Conquense Clean Sheet 20%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conquense Xerez CD
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.38 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Conquense vs Xerez CD
0:0
May 9, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Xerez CD vs Conquense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conquense 49 / 100
Xerez CD 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conquense Xerez CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conquense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Conquense scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Conquense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Xerez CD let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Conquense VS Xerez CD
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Conquense

(Home)
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
06 Sept
Conquense
2 : 2
Getafe B
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
01 Aug
Conquense
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
31 May
Conquense
0 : 2
UD Ourense
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Xerez CD

(Away)
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1
Xerez CD
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
07 Aug
Chiclana
0 : 1
Xerez CD
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Alaves B 2
Jaen 3
Baleares 4
Coruxo FC 1
Deportiva Minera 0
CD Coria 1
Real Oviedo B 3
Tudelano 1
UD Logrones 4
Getafe B 1
San Sebastian Reyes 3
Alcoyano 1
UD Ourense 2
Reus FC Reddis 1
Conquense 1
Xerez CD 1
Aguilas FC 4
Utebo FC 2
UD Poblense 3
Numancia 1
Final
Jaen 4
Baleares 2
CD Coria 4
Real Oviedo B 0
UD Logrones 2
San Sebastian Reyes 1
UD Ourense 3
Conquense 0
Aguilas FC 2
UD Poblense 1