Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Constancia and Arenal finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Constancia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Constancia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Constancia's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Constancia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Constancia | Arenal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Constancia found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (35 games).
Arenal let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Constancia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Constancia
(Home)Arenal
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcudia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 2 | SD Ibiza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 3 | PE Sant Jordi | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Manacor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Constancia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Formentera | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 7 | Mercadal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Cardassar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 9 | Llosetense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Porreres | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 11 | Andratx | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 13 | Platges de Calvia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 14 | Binissalem | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 15 | Migjorn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 | Sineu | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 17 | Arenal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 18 | Inter Ibiza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:7 | 0 |
