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Constancia vs Inter Ibiza

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Gonzalez G.
62' Event
Socias J.
65' Event
Llabres M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Constancia and Inter Ibiza finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Constancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Constancia
20%
Draws
34%
Inter Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Constancia come out ahead of Inter Ibiza on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Constancia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Constancia Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Ibiza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Constancia Inter Ibiza
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.78 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Inter Ibiza
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Constancia
2:0
Mar 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Inter Ibiza
2:1
Nov 27, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Constancia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Constancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Socias J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Inter Ibiza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Constancia 85 / 100
Inter Ibiza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Constancia Inter Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Constancia scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Inter Ibiza has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Constancia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Constancia VS Inter Ibiza
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Constancia

(Home)
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
25 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1
Constancia
Page 1 of 7

Inter Ibiza

(Away)
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1
Llosetense
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
18 Apr
Inter Ibiza
3 : 1
Manacor
12 Apr
Mercadal
0 : 1
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)