Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Calatayud M.
77'
77'
Ferrer M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Constancia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mallorca B lately — more wins on the board than Constancia.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Constancia taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Constancia Clean Sheet 68%
Mallorca B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Constancia | Mallorca B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 20 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 2.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Mallorca B
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Constancia
2:0
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Mallorca B
0:0
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Constancia
1:1
May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Constancia
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Constancia Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferrer M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Mallorca B Compare
Top Goalscorer Calatayud M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Constancia 95 / 100
Mallorca B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Constancia Mallorca B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Constancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Constancia's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Constancia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Mallorca B conceded in 45% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Constancia VS Mallorca B
2.5 Goals Scored 2.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Constancia
(Home) 13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0 Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0 Inter Ibiza
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0 Collerense
01 Apr
Constancia
3 : 0 Santanyi
Page 1 of 3
Mallorca B
(Away) 13 Sept
Mallorca B
0 : 0 Deportiva Minera
06 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 1 Mallorca B
15 Aug
Mallorca B
1 : 3 Baleares
29 Jul
Mallorca B
1 : 0 Sant Andreu
25 Jul
Baleares
2 : 1 Mallorca B
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 1 Mallorca B
25 Jul
Baleares
2 : 1 Mallorca B
09 May
Manacor
1 : 1 Mallorca B
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2 Mallorca B
12 Apr
Pena Deportiva
2 : 2 Mallorca B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
