Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Penya Independent in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Constancia lately — more wins on the board than Penya Independent.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Constancia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Penya Independent, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Constancia | Penya Independent |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.92 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Constancia Compare
Penya Independent Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Constancia scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.
Penya Independent let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Constancia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.