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Contagem U20 vs Itabirito U20

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Silva Dias T. H.
24' Event
Mateus
89' Event
Emanuel
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Itabirito U20 in this Mineiro U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itabirito U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Contagem U20
20%
Draws
64%
Itabirito U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itabirito U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Itabirito U20 have won more games recently than Contagem U20.
  • Itabirito U20 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Contagem U20 Clean Sheet 23%
Itabirito U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Contagem U20 Itabirito U20
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2025 Mineiro U20
Contagem U20 vs Itabirito U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Contagem U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Itabirito U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Dias T. H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mateus
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Contagem U20 24 / 100
Itabirito U20 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Contagem U20 Itabirito U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabirito U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Itabirito U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Contagem U20's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Itabirito U20
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Contagem U20

(Home)
09 Aug
Uberaba U20
2 : 0
Contagem U20
28 Jul
Contagem U20
0 : 3
Athletic Club U20
19 Jul
Inter de Minas U20
1 : 0
Contagem U20
12 Jul
Mamore U20
1 : 0
Contagem U20
05 Jul
Contagem U20
1 : 1
Boston City U20
Page 1 of 6

Itabirito U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Itabirito U20
2 : 2
America MG U20
12 Sept
Nacional de Muriae U20
2 : 0
Itabirito U20
28 Aug
Itabirito U20
0 : 1
Coimbra Sports U20
21 Aug
Boston City U20
3 : 2
Itabirito U20
14 Aug
Itabirito U20
2 : 0
Atletico-MG U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 10 7 1 2 16:5 22
2 Coimbra Sports U20 10 7 1 2 18:9 22
3 Boston City U20 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
4 Inter de Minas U20 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
5 Mamore U20 10 2 1 7 7:33 7
Promotion - Mineiro U20 2025 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG U20 10 6 2 2 26:15 20
2 Uberaba U20 10 5 3 2 16:10 18
3 Athletic Club U20 10 5 0 5 11:7 15
4 Betim FC U20 10 4 3 3 14:9 15
5 Itabirito U20 10 3 3 4 14:17 12
Promotion - Mineiro U20 2025 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America MG U20 10 5 3 2 18:11 18
2 Futgol U20 10 5 3 2 18:11 18
3 Villa Real U20 10 1 1 8 7:13 4
4 Contagem U20 10 0 3 7 5:17 3
5 Piracicaba U20 10 0 0 10 8:29 0
Promotion - Mineiro U20 2025 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams