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Contagem vs Serranense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Contagem and Serranense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Contagem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Contagem
35%
Draws
13%
Serranense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Contagem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Contagem come out ahead of Serranense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Contagem a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Contagem Clean Sheet 20%
Serranense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Contagem Serranense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.7 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 Mineiro 3
Serranense vs Contagem
0:1
Sep 16, 2023 Mineiro 3
Contagem vs Serranense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Contagem 85 / 100
Serranense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Contagem Serranense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Contagem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serranense let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Contagem scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Contagem remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Contagem VS Serranense
1 Goals Scored 0.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.71
50% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Contagem

(Home)
03 Nov
Tupynambas
2 : 1
Contagem
26 Oct
Contagem
0 : 0
Tupynambas
19 Oct
Contagem
5 : 0
Boston City
12 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Contagem
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1
Contagem
Page 1 of 6

Serranense

(Away)
11 Oct
Serranense
0 : 1
Boston City
05 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
6 : 1
Serranense
27 Sept
Serranense
2 : 2
Tupi-MG
20 Sept
Novo Esporte
3 : 0
Serranense
06 Sept
Serranense
0 : 0
Uniao Luziense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 6 5 1 0 8:2 16
2 Valeriodoce 6 4 0 2 6:4 12
3 Juventus Minasnovense 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
4 Boston City 6 0 0 6 4:12 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Pocos de Caldas 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
3 Villa Real 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
4 Tres Coracoes 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Contagem 6 4 1 1 5:2 13
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 6 3 2 1 13:3 11
3 Inter de Minas 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
4 Serranense 6 0 0 6 4:19 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mamore 8 6 2 0 16:4 20
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 11:6 14
3 Paracatu 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
4 Nacional Uberaba 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
5 Pirapora 8 1 0 7 3:16 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)