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Conwy Borough vs Buckley

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Whelan C.
70' Event
Hamilton A.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2022/2023 game between Conwy Borough and Buckley finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Conwy Borough
15%
Draws
65%
Buckley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buckley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Conwy Borough haven't matched Buckley's recent run of results.
  • Buckley are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 20%
Buckley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conwy Borough Buckley
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.37 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2023 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Buckley
1:1
Sep 6, 2022 Cymru North
Buckley vs Conwy Borough
2:2
Apr 18, 2022 Cymru North
Buckley vs Conwy Borough
1:4
Oct 9, 2021 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Buckley
3:3
Apr 25, 2020 Cymru North
Buckley vs Conwy Borough
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conwy Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Whelan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Buckley Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamilton A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conwy Borough 10 / 100
Buckley 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conwy Borough Buckley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buckley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buckley has conceded goals in 89% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Conwy Borough found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Conwy Borough has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Buckley
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Conwy Borough

(Home)
22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0
Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1
Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0
Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1
Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0
Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 6

Buckley

(Away)
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6
Buckley
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3
Buckley
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0
Buckley
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1
Guilsfield
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 27 2 1 101:24 83
2 Holywell Town FC 30 26 1 3 75:22 79
3 Llandudno FC 30 20 6 4 70:23 66
4 Guilsfield 30 17 6 7 58:37 57
5 Ruthin Town 30 16 3 11 48:44 51
6 Prestatyn 30 14 4 12 66:50 46
7 Cefn Druids 30 13 4 13 48:64 43
8 Buckley 30 12 6 12 53:61 42
9 Mold Alexandra 30 10 5 15 41:52 35
10 Gresford 30 10 5 15 32:43 35
11 Porthmadog 30 10 3 17 36:53 33
12 Llanidloes Town 30 7 6 17 42:63 27
13 Chirk AAA FC 30 5 11 14 32:49 26
14 Conwy Borough 30 5 8 17 33:64 23
15 Penrhyncoch 30 3 7 20 31:72 16
16 Holyhead 30 2 9 19 24:69 15
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2023/2024 (Main)