Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
McCaffrey S.
42'
42'
Burgess J.
54'
54'
McGonigle C.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Conwy Borough in this Cymru North 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conwy Borough.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conwy Borough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Conwy Borough lately — more wins on the board than Llanrhaeadr.
- Conwy Borough are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Cymru North 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- Conwy Borough have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 10%
Llanrhaeadr Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Conwy Borough | Llanrhaeadr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.19 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2021 Cymru North
Llanrhaeadr vs Conwy Borough
2:3
Aug 14, 2021 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Llanrhaeadr
3:2
Apr 15, 2020 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Llanrhaeadr
0:0
Sep 14, 2019 Cymru North
Llanrhaeadr vs Conwy Borough
1:2
Mar 23, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Conwy Borough vs Llanrhaeadr
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Conwy Borough Compare
Top Goalscorer McCaffrey S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Whelan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Llanrhaeadr Compare
Top Goalscorer Burgess J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Harrison L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Conwy Borough 83 / 100
Llanrhaeadr 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Conwy Borough Llanrhaeadr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Conwy Borough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llanrhaeadr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Conwy Borough scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Llanrhaeadr lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Conwy Borough VS Llanrhaeadr
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Conwy Borough
(Home) 22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0 Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1 Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0 Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1 Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0 Conwy Borough
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07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1 Holyhead
10 Mar
Conwy Borough
1 : 4 Holywell Town FC
04 Mar
Conwy Borough
0 : 1 Mold Alexandra
10 Feb
Conwy Borough
1 : 1 Buckley
04 Feb
Conwy Borough
0 : 3 Guilsfield
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Llanrhaeadr
(Away) 18 Oct
Bala
3 : 1 Llanrhaeadr
21 Sept
Carno FC
0 : 4 Llanrhaeadr
23 Apr
Llanrhaeadr
0 : 3 Buckley
18 Apr
Llanrhaeadr
1 : 6 Llanidloes Town
15 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Llanrhaeadr
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Bala
3 : 1 Llanrhaeadr
21 Sept
Carno FC
0 : 4 Llanrhaeadr
15 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Llanrhaeadr
09 Apr
Colwyn Bay
5 : 0 Llanrhaeadr
26 Feb
Holywell Town FC
5 : 0 Llanrhaeadr
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 85:23 | 72 |
| 2 | Llandudno FC | 28 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 55:21 | 63 |
| 3 | Guilsfield | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 51:24 | 52 |
| 4 | Holywell Town FC | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 68:36 | 50 |
| 5 | Ruthin Town | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 51:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 28 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 60:40 | 48 |
| 7 | Holyhead | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Buckley | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 48:48 | 40 |
| 9 | Penrhyncoch | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 39:57 | 35 |
| 10 | Conwy Borough | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 42:59 | 32 |
| 11 | Gresford | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 39:42 | 31 |
| 12 | Llanidloes Town | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 44:59 | 28 |
| 13 | Prestatyn | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 34:68 | 20 |
| 14 | Llangefni | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 19:70 | 15 |
| 15 | Llanrhaeadr | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 23:84 | 10 |
| 16 | Bangor City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | -15 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)
