Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Wood N.
38'
38'
Wood N.
71'
71'
Georgievsky K.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Penybont advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
15%
69%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penybont
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Penybont carry the better recent record into this one.
- Penybont are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Penybont arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Penybont, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 20%
Penybont Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Conwy Borough | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.19 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 12, 2022 FAW Welsh Cup
Conwy Borough vs Penybont
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Conwy Borough Compare
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Penybont Compare
Top Goalscorer Wood N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Georgievsky K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Conwy Borough 10 / 100
Penybont 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Conwy Borough Penybont
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penybont Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Conwy Borough found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Penybont's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Conwy Borough stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Penybont
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Conwy Borough
(Home) 22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0 Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1 Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0 Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1 Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0 Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 7
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1 Holyhead
10 Mar
Conwy Borough
1 : 4 Holywell Town FC
04 Mar
Conwy Borough
0 : 1 Mold Alexandra
10 Feb
Conwy Borough
1 : 1 Buckley
04 Feb
Conwy Borough
0 : 3 Guilsfield
Page 1 of 3
Penybont
(Away) 18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
14 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 3 Penybont
07 Aug
Caernarfon
1 : 2 Penybont
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
CKSV 1
Aber Valley 5
TBD -
Barry Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 1
Llanrug 7
Llanidloes Town 0
Gresford 1
Felinheli 2
Glannau 1
Conwy Borough 3
Kinmel Bay 2
Risca United 4
Aberbargoed Buds 2
TBD -
Penybont -
Trearddur Bay 1
Penycae FC 5
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Abergavenny Town 2
Treharris Athletic 1
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Afan Lido 0
Hakin United 1
TBD -
Taffs Well -
Llanfair United 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Ammanford Town 0
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cefn Cribwr 1
Newport City 2
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Penydarren 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
TBD -
Pure Swansea -
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Ton Pentre 0
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Mochdre Sports 0
Chirk AAA FC 3
TBD -
TNS -
Llay Welfare 3
Flint Mountain 6
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Pencoed 6
Brecon Corinthians 2
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Treowen 0
Cardiff Corries 6
TBD -
Newtown -
Abermule 2
Hawarden Rangers 3
TBD -
Bala -
Penrhyncoch 1
Caersws FC 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Penparcau FC 1
Rhyl 3
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Chepstow Town 1
Rockspur 0
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Porthmadog 3
Mold Alexandra 4
TBD -
Holyhead -
Croesyceiliog FC 2
Ynysygerwn 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llangefni 1
Llandudno Albion 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Machynlleth 0
Prestatyn 3
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Llansannan 1
Glantraeth FC 2
TBD -
Cefn Druids -
Canton 5
West End 1
Llanelli 4
Goytre AFC 0
Denbigh 6
Llanrwst United 1
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Bow Street 6
Bangor 1876 5
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Baglan Dragons 1
Pontardawe 2
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Pill 4
Caldicot 0
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Talysarn Celts 0
Queens Park 1
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberfan 2
Porthcawl Town 0
Trefelin 5
Llandrindod 0
1/32-finals
Aber Valley 1
Barry Town 3
Llanrug 0
Gresford 3
Felinheli 1
Conwy Borough 4
Risca United 1
Penybont 5
Penycae FC 1
Guilsfield 4
Abergavenny Town 1
Goytre Utd 2
Hakin United 4
Taffs Well 1
Llanuwchllyn 0
Holywell Town FC 5
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Llantwit Major 2
Newport City 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Penydarren 2
Pure Swansea 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 2
Haverfordwest 1
Chirk AAA FC 1
TNS 2
Flint Mountain 0
Caernarfon 4
Pencoed 0
Aberystwyth 1
Cardiff Corries 1
Newtown 8
Hawarden Rangers 1
Bala 6
Caersws FC 0
Flint Town 1
Rhyl 0
Ruthin Town 2
Chepstow Town 1
Pontypridd United 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Holyhead 1
Croesyceiliog FC 0
Briton Ferry 5
Llandudno Albion 0
Buckley 3
Prestatyn 2
Llandudno FC 0
Glantraeth FC 0
Cefn Druids 5
Canton 1
Llanelli 2
Denbigh 1
Connahs Q. 5
Bow Street 1
Colwyn Bay 4
Pontardawe 1
Cambrian United 0
Pill 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Queens Park 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Aberfan 1
Trefelin 5
1/16-finals
Barry Town 0
Gresford 2
Conwy Borough 0
Penybont 3
Guilsfield 6
Goytre Utd 3
Hakin United 1
Holywell Town FC 5
Cwmbran Celtic 4
Carmarthen Town 3
Penydarren 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
TNS 2
Caernarfon 1
Aberystwyth 1
Newtown 3
Bala 2
Flint Town 0
Ruthin Town 3
Pontypridd United 4
Mold Alexandra 0
Briton Ferry 4
Buckley 2
Prestatyn 0
Cefn Druids 3
Llanelli 4
Connahs Q. 4
Colwyn Bay 0
Pontardawe 3
Pill 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Trefelin 1
1/8-finals
Gresford 0
Penybont 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Penydarren 2
TNS 7
Newtown 0
Bala 2
Pontypridd United 1
Briton Ferry 3
Buckley 2
Llanelli 0
Connahs Q. 2
Pontardawe 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Quarter-finals
Penybont 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cwmbran Celtic 1
TNS 3
Bala 2
Briton Ferry 0
Connahs Q. 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Semi-finals
Penybont 0
TNS 2
Bala 3
Connahs Q. 2
Final
TNS 6
Bala 0
