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Cook Islands U16 vs Papua New Guinea U16

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U16 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Rua J.
76' Event
Millis J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this OFC Championship U16 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Cook Islands U16
6%
Draws
90%
Papua New Guinea U16
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Papua New Guinea U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Papua New Guinea U16 lately — more wins on the board than Cook Islands U16.
  • Model gives Papua New Guinea U16 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Cook Islands U16 Clean Sheet 10%
Papua New Guinea U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands U16 Papua New Guinea U16
Matches Played 11 10
Wins 1 4
Draws 2 1
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 OFC Championship U16
Cook Islands U16 vs Papua New Guinea U16
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cook Islands U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rua J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Papua New Guinea U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Millis J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands U16 10 / 100
Papua New Guinea U16 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands U16 Papua New Guinea U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Papua New Guinea U16 let in goals in 70% of their last 10 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Papua New Guinea U16 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Cook Islands U16 scored in 45% of their last 11 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cook Islands U16 VS Papua New Guinea U16
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fiji U1633009:19
2Papua New Guinea U1631117:44
3Tahiti U1631027:83
4Cook Islands U1630121:111
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U16321013:07
2New Caledonia U16321010:27
3Solomon Islands U1631026:133
4Samoa U1630030:140