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Cook Islands U19 vs Vanuatu U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Natou J.
55' Event
Waoute S.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U19 2024 game between Cook Islands U19 and Vanuatu U19 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanuatu U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Cook Islands U19
30%
Draws
16%
Vanuatu U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cook Islands U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Cook Islands U19 haven't matched Vanuatu U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cook Islands U19 a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cook Islands U19 Clean Sheet 14%
Vanuatu U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands U19 Vanuatu U19
Matches Played 11 23
Wins 4 7
Draws 1 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.45 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Cook Islands U19 vs Vanuatu U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cook Islands U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.84

Vanuatu U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Natou J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Waoute S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands U19 84 / 100
Vanuatu U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands U19 Vanuatu U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cook Islands U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanuatu U19 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 23 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Cook Islands U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vanuatu U19's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cook Islands U19 VS Vanuatu U19
1.86 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cook Islands U19

(Home)
13 Jun
Papua New Guinea U19
5 : 1
Cook Islands U19
10 Jun
Tonga U19
1 : 4
Cook Islands U19
15 Apr
Cook Islands U19
0 : 2
Vanuatu U19
12 Apr
American Samoa U19
2 : 3
Cook Islands U19
09 Apr
Tonga U19
1 : 1
Cook Islands U19
Page 1 of 3

Vanuatu U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1
Vanuatu U19
08 Sept
Vanuatu U19
0 : 6
New Zealand U19
04 Sept
Vanuatu U19
1 : 1
Tahiti U19
01 Sept
Fiji U19
7 : 2
Vanuatu U19
21 Aug
Vanuatu U19
3 : 3
Australia U17
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vanuatu U19 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Cook Islands U19 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 Tonga U19 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
4 American Samoa U19 3 0 0 3 5:11 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (Main)