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Cook Islands U20 vs Tahiti U20

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U20 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cook Islands U20 play Tahiti U20 in the OFC Championship U20 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cook Islands U20 averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Tahiti U20 averaged 0.67 goals scored and 4.67 conceded. In past meetings, Cook Islands U20 won 0, Tahiti U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 10, 2016 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.92 for Cook Islands U20 and 1.21 for Tahiti U20. This points to a Cook Islands U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Cook Islands U20
15%
Draws
30%
Tahiti U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cook Islands U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Cook Islands U20 picked up more points recently compared to Tahiti U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.92 vs 1.21 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Cook Islands U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Tahiti U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands U20 Tahiti U20
Matches Played 6 9
Wins 2 1
Draws 1 1
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.33 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.67 4.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2016 OFC Championship U19
Cook Islands U20 vs Tahiti U20
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands U20 54 / 100
Tahiti U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands U20 Tahiti U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cook Islands U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cook Islands U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.4%
1.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cook Islands U20 attacking → ← attacking Tahiti U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cook Islands U20 scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Tahiti U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Cook Islands U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tahiti U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 4
1.33 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vanuatu U2033005:19
2New Caledonia U2031115:34
3Fiji U2030212:32
4Papua New Guinea U2030123:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1New Zealand U2032107:17
2Solomon Islands U2031205:25
3Tahiti U2031116:74
4Cook Islands U2030031:90