Sport Picks
Cook Islands vs Tonga
World
World Championship 2026 National Soccer Stadium, Apia 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Tonga advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Cook Islands carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Cook Islands have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cook Islands, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cook Islands | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 18 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cook Islands Compare
Tonga Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tonga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Difficult form: Tonga registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Cook Islands scored in 50% of their last 26 games.
