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Cook Islands vs Tuvalu

World World

World Cup 2010 National Soccer Stadium, Apia
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Cook Islands advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cook Islands
15%
Draws
57%
Tuvalu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tuvalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Cook Islands carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Cook Islands taking it.
  • Cook Islands have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cook Islands, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Cook Islands Clean Sheet 11%
Tuvalu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands Tuvalu
Matches Played 26 18
Wins 6 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.85 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 5.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.71 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2007 World Championship
Cook Islands vs Tuvalu
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands 83 / 100
Tuvalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands Tuvalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cook Islands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuvalu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 18 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Tuvalu lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Cook Islands scored in 54% of their last 26 games.

Scoring Trends

Cook Islands VS Tuvalu
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 5.17
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Cook Islands

(Home)
27 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tahiti
08 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 2
American Samoa
05 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tonga
26 Mar
Cook Islands
1 : 0
Tonga
22 Mar
Samoa
1 : 0
Cook Islands
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Tuvalu

(Away)
30 Nov
Northern Mariana Islands
1 : 4
Tuvalu
27 Nov
Tonga
0 : 4
Tuvalu
20 Nov
Tuvalu
0 : 6
Vanuatu
17 Nov
Papua New Guinea
3 : 0
Tuvalu
17 Jul
New Caledonia
11 : 0
Tuvalu
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