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Cook Islands W vs New Caledonia W Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pacific Games Women game between Cook Islands W and New Caledonia W finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Caledonia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cook Islands W
15%
Draws
0%
New Caledonia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cook Islands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Caledonia W come out ahead of Cook Islands W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cook Islands W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pacific Games Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cook Islands W Clean Sheet 16%
New Caledonia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands W New Caledonia W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.9 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2023 Pacific Games Women
Cook Islands W vs New Caledonia W
2:5
Jul 13, 2015 Pacific Games Women
New Caledonia W vs Cook Islands W
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands W 84 / 100
New Caledonia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands W New Caledonia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cook Islands W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Caledonia W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Away concern: New Caledonia W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cook Islands W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cook Islands W VS New Caledonia W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cook Islands W

(Home)
07 Jun
Cook Islands W
3 : 0
Afghanistan W
03 Jun
Cook Islands W
1 : 0
Afghanistan W
01 Dec
American Samoa W
4 : 0
Cook Islands W
29 Nov
Tahiti W
0 : 1
Cook Islands W
14 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 1
Tonga W
Page 1 of 6

New Caledonia W

(Away)
29 Sept
Fiji W
1 : 0
New Caledonia W
26 Sept
New Caledonia W
0 : 1
Solomon Islands W
23 Sept
Vanuatu W
5 : 0
New Caledonia W
20 Sept
New Caledonia W
1 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
15 Apr
Indonesia W
4 : 2
New Caledonia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Papua New Guinea W 3 2 1 0 14:2 7
2 New Caledonia W 3 2 1 0 11:4 7
3 Cook Islands W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 American Samoa W 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Samoa W 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2 Tahiti W 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
3 Tonga W 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiji W 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2 Solomon Islands W 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Vanuatu W 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)