Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Northern NSW 2025 No. 2 Sportsground

New Lambton

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cooks Hill United play New Lambton in the NPL Northern NSW 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cooks Hill United averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. New Lambton averaged 1.45 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Cooks Hill United won 4, New Lambton won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Cooks Hill United and 1.94 for New Lambton. This points to a Cooks Hill United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Cooks Hill United

15%

Draws

34%

New Lambton

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cooks Hill United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Cooks Hill United picked up more points recently compared to New Lambton.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Cooks Hill United Clean Sheet 10%

New Lambton Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cooks Hill United	New Lambton
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	11	8
Draws	7	6
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	1.65	1.45
Goals Conceded	1.97	2
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 NPL Northern NSW

Cooks Hill United vs New Lambton

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Apr 6, 2025 NPL Northern NSW

New Lambton vs Cooks Hill United

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

2:4

Jun 29, 2024 NPL Northern NSW

New Lambton vs Cooks Hill United

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Jun 12, 2024 NPL Northern NSW

Cooks Hill United vs New Lambton

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Jul 15, 2023 NPL Northern NSW

Cooks Hill United vs New Lambton

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cooks Hill United Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

New Lambton Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cooks Hill United 48 / 100

New Lambton 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cooks Hill United New Lambton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cooks Hill United or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cooks Hill United attacking → ← attacking New Lambton

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cooks Hill United scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

New Lambton let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Cooks Hill United went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

New Lambton lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 30

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic FC	22	19	2	1	50:18	59
2	Edgeworth Eagles FC	22	17	2	3	50:15	53
3	Weston Workers Bears	22	16	2	4	61:25	50
4	Lambton Jaffas FC	22	9	6	7	37:29	33
5	Maitland	22	9	5	8	42:41	32
6	Newcastle Olympic	22	8	7	7	47:38	31
7	Charlestown Azzurri	22	6	6	10	32:34	24
8	Adamstown Rosebud	22	7	2	13	33:47	23
9	Cooks Hill United	22	7	2	13	26:47	23
10	Belmont Swansea United	22	4	8	10	34:45	20
11	Valentine	22	4	4	14	28:60	16
12	New Lambton	22	1	4	17	21:62	7