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Copiapo vs Curico Unido Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Lopez M.
14' Event
Lopez M.
15'
Sub
Benegas L. In: Aliaga I.
Out: Benegas L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Copiapo and Curico Unido finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Copiapo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Copiapo
15%
Draws
26%
Curico Unido
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Copiapo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Copiapo come out ahead of Curico Unido on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Copiapo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 68%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Copiapo Curico Unido
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.41 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Curico Unido
4:0
Mar 28, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Copiapo
1:1
Jul 20, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Curico Unido
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Copiapo
1:1
Aug 6, 2023 Liga de Primera
Copiapo vs Curico Unido
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Copiapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Curico Unido Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Copiapo 95 / 100
Curico Unido 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Copiapo Curico Unido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Copiapo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Copiapo found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Curico Unido has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Copiapo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Copiapo VS Curico Unido
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Copiapo

(Home)
03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1
Magallanes
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1
Copiapo
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4
Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6

Curico Unido

(Away)
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0
Curico Unido
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
Curico Unido
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4
D. Concepcion
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0
Curico Unido
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1
U. Espanola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)