Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Copiapo vs San Felipe

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Guajardo Barrera B.
37'
Sub
Jara Gonzalez G. A. In: Brun N.
Out: Jara Gonzalez G. A.
44' Event
Lopez M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Copiapo and San Felipe finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Copiapo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Copiapo
17%
Draws
70%
San Felipe
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: San Felipe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Copiapo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • San Felipe are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 16%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Copiapo San Felipe
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs San Felipe
2:1
Aug 3, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs San Felipe
0:0
Mar 14, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Copiapo
0:1
Jul 8, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Copiapo
3:1
May 26, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs San Felipe
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Copiapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

San Felipe Compare

Top Goalscorer Guajardo Barrera B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Copiapo 15 / 100
San Felipe 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Copiapo San Felipe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Copiapo scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

San Felipe let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Copiapo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Copiapo VS San Felipe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Copiapo

(Home)
11 Jul
Copiapo
0 : 1
Everton
05 Jul
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Copiapo
26 Jun
Everton
3 : 0
Copiapo
20 Jun
Copiapo
0 : 3
U. Catolica
06 Jun
Copiapo
1 : 0
S. Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

San Felipe

(Away)
04 Jul
San Felipe
1 : 1
Union La Calera
28 Jun
U. De Chile
2 : 0
San Felipe
21 Jun
Union La Calera
0 : 2
San Felipe
08 Jun
U. Espanola
2 : 2
San Felipe
30 May
San Felipe
1 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)