Sport Picks
Copiapo vs U. Espanola
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó 
Match Events
4'
4'
Espoz F.
22'
22'
Roco B.
30'
30'
Espoz F.
AI Match Summary
Copiapo in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Copiapo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Copiapo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- U. Espanola have won more games recently than Copiapo.
- Model gives Copiapo a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 68%
U. Espanola Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Copiapo | U. Espanola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs U. Espanola
3:1
Sep 15, 2024 Liga de Primera
Copiapo vs U. Espanola
2:3
Apr 21, 2024 Liga de Primera
U. Espanola vs Copiapo
5:3
Aug 26, 2023 Liga de Primera
Copiapo vs U. Espanola
4:3
Mar 4, 2023 Liga de Primera
U. Espanola vs Copiapo
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Copiapo Compare
Top Goalscorer Espoz F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Palacios L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
U. Espanola Compare
Top Goalscorer Vilches Araneda A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Copiapo 50 / 100
U. Espanola 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Copiapo U. Espanola
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Copiapo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.40 goals.
Copiapo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
U. Espanola let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
U. Espanola lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Copiapo VS U. Espanola
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Copiapo
(Home) 09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1 Magallanes
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4 Antofagasta
22 Aug
Recoleta
2 : 1 Copiapo
17 Aug
Copiapo
4 : 0 Curico Unido
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1 Magallanes
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4 Antofagasta
17 Aug
Copiapo
4 : 0 Curico Unido
09 Aug
Copiapo
1 : 1 San Luis
11 Jul
Copiapo
0 : 1 Everton
Page 1 of 3
U. Espanola
(Away) 15 Sept
U. Espanola
1 : 1 Deportes Temuco
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1 U. Espanola
05 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 1 U. Espanola
29 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 1 Rangers
27 Aug
Colo Colo
3 : 0 U. Espanola
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1 U. Espanola
05 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 1 U. Espanola
27 Aug
Colo Colo
3 : 0 U. Espanola
22 Aug
Cobreloa
0 : 1 U. Espanola
11 Aug
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1 U. Espanola
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Wanderers | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:25 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 42:27 | 42 |
| 3 | San Luis | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 38:29 | 41 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:38 | 40 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42:26 | 38 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36:33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31:23 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:32 | 36 |
| 9 | D. Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:31 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40:35 | 32 |
| 11 | Copiapo | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:38 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33:30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:38 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26:38 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15:37 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:40 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
