Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Copiapo vs U. Espanola

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Espoz F.
22'
Roco B.
30' Event
Espoz F.

AI Match Summary

Copiapo in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Copiapo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Copiapo
39%
Draws
30%
U. Espanola
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Copiapo have won more games recently than U. Espanola.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 15%
U. Espanola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Copiapo U. Espanola
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs U. Espanola
3:1
Sep 15, 2024 Liga de Primera
Copiapo vs U. Espanola
2:3
Apr 21, 2024 Liga de Primera
U. Espanola vs Copiapo
5:3
Aug 26, 2023 Liga de Primera
Copiapo vs U. Espanola
4:3
Mar 4, 2023 Liga de Primera
U. Espanola vs Copiapo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Copiapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Espoz F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

U. Espanola Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilches Araneda A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Copiapo 31 / 100
U. Espanola 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Copiapo U. Espanola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Copiapo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

U. Espanola let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Copiapo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Copiapo VS U. Espanola
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Copiapo

(Home)
11 Jul
Copiapo
0 : 1
Everton
05 Jul
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Copiapo
26 Jun
Everton
3 : 0
Copiapo
20 Jun
Copiapo
0 : 3
U. Catolica
06 Jun
Copiapo
1 : 0
S. Wanderers
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U. Espanola

(Away)
05 Jul
U. Espanola
1 : 2
O Higgins
29 Jun
U. Espanola
0 : 3
Colo Colo
22 Jun
O Higgins
1 : 1
U. Espanola
08 Jun
U. Espanola
2 : 2
San Felipe
30 May
S. Wanderers
2 : 2
U. Espanola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)