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Coquimbo vs Cobreloa Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Cobreloa have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Coquimbo have conceded 1 and scored 1.34. Head-to-head, Coquimbo have won 3 to Cobreloa's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 22, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.38) back Coquimbo to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Coquimbo
15%
Draws
46%
Cobreloa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cobreloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Coquimbo haven't matched Cobreloa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Coquimbo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Cobreloa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Coquimbo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 17%
Cobreloa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coquimbo Cobreloa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.34 1.68
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Copa Chile
Cobreloa vs Coquimbo
1:2
Aug 28, 2024 Liga de Primera
Cobreloa vs Coquimbo
1:0
Apr 7, 2024 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs Cobreloa
2:1
Sep 6, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Coquimbo vs Cobreloa
2:1
May 3, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs Coquimbo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coquimbo 41 / 100
Cobreloa 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coquimbo Cobreloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coquimbo scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Cobreloa has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Coquimbo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coquimbo VS Cobreloa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coquimbo

(Home)
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
16 Sept
Coquimbo
0 : 1
Huachipato
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
02 Sept
Coquimbo
1 : 0
U. De Concepcion
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Cobreloa

(Away)
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0
S. Wanderers
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
10 Sept
Antofagasta
0 : 0
Cobreloa
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2
Cobreloa
01 Sept
Cobreloa
2 : 0
San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Colo Colo 1
A. Italiano 0
Nublense 2
D. Puerto Montt 3
Deportes Santa Cruz 2
O Higgins 5
D. Concepcion 6
Curico Unido 0
U. De Chile 2
Everton 1
Antofagasta 5
Deportes Iquique 2
U. Catolica 1
Union La Calera 2
Coquimbo 2
Cobreloa 1
Quarter-finals
Colo Colo 1
D. Puerto Montt 0
O Higgins 1
D. Concepcion 0
U. De Chile -
Antofagasta -
Union La Calera -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -