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Coquimbo vs La Serena

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Escalante G.
29'
Cornejo J.
40'
Gutierrez B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Primera matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Coquimbo
35%
Draws
47%
La Serena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: La Serena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Coquimbo have won more games recently than La Serena.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on La Serena taking it.
  • Regular Liga de Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 20%
La Serena Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coquimbo La Serena
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.45
Goals Conceded 1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs La Serena
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs Coquimbo
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs La Serena
2:1
May 31, 2025 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs Coquimbo
2:4
Apr 6, 2025 Copa Chile
La Serena vs Coquimbo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coquimbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

La Serena Compare

Top Goalscorer Chamorro F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coquimbo 28 / 100
La Serena 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coquimbo La Serena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Serena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coquimbo scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

La Serena let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Coquimbo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coquimbo VS La Serena
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coquimbo

(Home)
26 Aug
Coquimbo
1 : 2
U. Catolica
23 Aug
D. Concepcion
1 : 1
Coquimbo
19 Aug
Coquimbo
0 : 1
Platense
12 Aug
Platense
1 : 1
Coquimbo
08 Aug
Coquimbo
1 : 1
La Serena
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La Serena

(Away)
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3
Cobresal
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2
La Serena
08 Aug
Coquimbo
1 : 1
La Serena
02 Aug
La Serena
1 : 2
O Higgins
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 21 17 1 3 47:21 52
2 U. Catolica 21 11 3 7 46:31 36
3 U. De Chile 21 10 6 5 28:17 36
4 Everton 21 9 6 6 34:23 33
5 Palestino 21 10 3 8 32:29 33
6 Nublense 20 8 8 4 26:24 32
7 D. Concepcion 21 9 3 9 24:24 30
8 Limache 20 8 3 9 38:34 27
9 La Serena 21 6 9 6 32:34 27
10 Coquimbo 19 7 5 7 26:24 26
11 O Higgins 21 7 3 11 26:34 24
12 Huachipato 20 7 3 10 29:39 24
13 A. Italiano 21 5 7 9 24:31 22
14 U. De Concepcion 20 6 4 10 16:34 22
15 Cobresal 21 6 3 12 31:39 21
16 Union La Calera 21 3 5 13 17:38 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)