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Coquimbo vs O Higgins - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa de la Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Coquimbo have averaged 1.32 scored and 0.96 conceded recently, against O Higgins's 1.5 scored and 1.36 conceded. Head-to-head, Coquimbo have won 3 to O Higgins's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.63) back Coquimbo to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Coquimbo
15%
Draws
57%
O Higgins
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O Higgins

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • O Higgins's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Coquimbo have produced (1.32).
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on O Higgins taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Coquimbo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 14%
O Higgins Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coquimbo O Higgins
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.32 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs O Higgins
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga de Primera
O Higgins vs Coquimbo
0:1
May 3, 2025 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs O Higgins
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Liga de Primera
O Higgins vs Coquimbo
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs O Higgins
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coquimbo 23 / 100
O Higgins 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coquimbo O Higgins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O Higgins Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coquimbo scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

O Higgins has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Coquimbo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coquimbo VS O Higgins
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coquimbo

(Home)
07 Oct
Coquimbo
2 : 1
Cobreloa
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
16 Sept
Coquimbo
0 : 1
Huachipato
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
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O Higgins

(Away)
04 Oct
O Higgins
2 : 0
D. Concepcion
30 Sept
D. Concepcion
0 : 1
O Higgins
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3
O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
13 Sept
A. Italiano
1 : 0
O Higgins
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Coquimbo 2
Union La Calera 1
O Higgins 3
Nublense 2
Final
Coquimbo -
O Higgins -