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Coria C.F. vs Cabecense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Francis
38'
Francis
41' Event
Jarana Cid D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 game between Coria C.F. and Cabecense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coria C.F..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Coria C.F.
30%
Draws
31%
Cabecense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coria C.F.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coria C.F. come out ahead of Cabecense on wins alone.
  • Coria C.F. are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Coria C.F. Clean Sheet 19%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coria C.F. Cabecense
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 7
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.93 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs Cabecense
2:0
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Coria C.F.
0:0
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs Cabecense
2:0
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Coria C.F.
0:0
Feb 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs Cabecense
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coria C.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarana Cid D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Cabecense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coria C.F. 40 / 100
Cabecense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coria C.F. Cabecense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coria C.F. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabecense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Coria C.F. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cabecense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coria C.F. VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coria C.F.

(Home)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 2
Tomares UD
25 Apr
Coria C.F.
0 : 2
AD Ceuta B
19 Apr
Cordoba B
4 : 0
Coria C.F.
12 Apr
Coria C.F.
1 : 1
Chiclana
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Cabecense

(Away)
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0
Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1
La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Cabecense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez CD 34 19 10 5 53:21 67
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 19 9 6 39:21 66
3 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 18 10 6 50:23 64
4 Pozoblanco 34 18 8 8 49:36 62
5 AD Ceuta B 34 15 11 8 47:27 56
6 Puente Genil 34 13 15 6 52:45 54
7 Inter Sevilla 34 14 7 13 38:40 49
8 CD Utrera 34 13 7 14 50:48 46
9 AD Cartaya 34 12 9 13 35:34 45
10 La Palma CF 34 11 8 15 49:52 41
11 Bollullos 34 8 14 12 31:44 38
12 Conil 34 9 10 15 29:40 37
13 Cordoba B 34 8 13 13 37:43 37
14 Atletico Espeleno 34 10 7 17 41:53 37
15 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 42:54 36
16 Sevilla C 34 8 11 15 28:35 35
17 Ayamonte 34 7 11 16 32:47 32
18 Cabecense 34 7 7 20 25:64 28
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)