Sport Picks
Coria C.F. vs Castilleja CF Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 
Match Events
15'
15'
Cazorla A.
90'
90'
Carrascal G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coria C.F.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Castilleja CF lately — more wins on the board than Coria C.F..
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Coria C.F. Clean Sheet 14%
Castilleja CF Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coria C.F. | Castilleja CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs Coria C.F.
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs Castilleja CF
1:1
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs Coria C.F.
1:0
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs Castilleja CF
0:4
Sep 30, 2020 Club Friendly
Castilleja CF vs Coria C.F.
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coria C.F. Compare
Top Goalscorer Carrascal G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Castilleja CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Cazorla A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coria C.F. 35 / 100
Castilleja CF 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coria C.F. Castilleja CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castilleja CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castilleja CF has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Coria C.F. remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Difficult form: Castilleja CF registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Coria C.F. VS Castilleja CF
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Coria C.F.
(Home) 06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2 Coria C.F.
03 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 2 Tomares UD
25 Apr
Coria C.F.
0 : 2 AD Ceuta B
19 Apr
Cordoba B
4 : 0 Coria C.F.
12 Apr
Coria C.F.
1 : 1 Chiclana
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 2 Tomares UD
25 Apr
Coria C.F.
0 : 2 AD Ceuta B
12 Apr
Coria C.F.
1 : 1 Chiclana
29 Mar
Coria C.F.
0 : 1 Atletico Central
15 Mar
Coria C.F.
0 : 2 Dos Hermanas
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Castilleja CF
(Away) 06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2 Coria C.F.
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2 Castilleja CF
26 Apr
Castilleja CF
0 : 1 Cordoba B
19 Apr
Chiclana
1 : 0 Castilleja CF
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1 Conil
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03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2 Castilleja CF
19 Apr
Chiclana
1 : 0 Castilleja CF
02 Apr
Atletico Central
2 : 1 Castilleja CF
25 Mar
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
0 : 0 Castilleja CF
22 Mar
Dos Hermanas
5 : 1 Castilleja CF
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 69:25 | 73 |
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 69:39 | 60 |
| 3 | Atletico Central | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 36:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Bollullos | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 43:35 | 53 |
| 5 | AD Ceuta B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 38:38 | 52 |
| 6 | Linense | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 45:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Cadiz B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 50:38 | 52 |
| 8 | Conil | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:44 | 52 |
| 9 | Cordoba B | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44:44 | 44 |
| 10 | CD Utrera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:47 | 44 |
| 11 | Pozoblanco | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:44 | 43 |
| 12 | Chiclana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | San Roque de Lepe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36:43 | 40 |
| 15 | Tomares UD | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Sevilla C | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 34:41 | 38 |
| 17 | Castilleja CF | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:62 | 27 |
| 18 | Coria C.F. | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:59 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
