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Stadium Background

Corinthians vs Atletico-MG

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Neo Quimica Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Corinthians play Atletico-MG in the Serie A Betano. Atletico-MG are favorites here. Recently, Corinthians averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Atletico-MG averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Corinthians won 2, Atletico-MG won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Corinthians and 1.00 for Atletico-MG. This points to a Atletico-MG double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Corinthians
39%
Draws
30%
Atletico-MG
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico-MG demonstrates higher offensive output (1.75 avg goals) than Corinthians (1.38 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie A Betano provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 23%
Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians Atletico-MG
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Atletico-MG
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Atletico-MG
1:0
May 25, 2025 Serie A Betano
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians
0:0
Jul 28, 2024 Serie A Betano
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians
2:1
Apr 14, 2024 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Atletico-MG
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians Compare

Top Goalscorer Labyad Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Atletico-MG Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians 33 / 100
Atletico-MG 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians Atletico-MG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Atletico-MG let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Corinthians went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atletico-MG lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians VS Atletico-MG
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Atletico-MG1873822:2324
10Corinthians1866618:1924
11Cruzeiro1866624:2824
12Botafogo RJ1764731:3122
13Vitoria1764721:2522
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1856726:2921
16Gremio1856720:2321
17Vasco1855822:2920
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339